A General Theory of Influence in a DIME/PMESII/ASCOP/IRC2 Model

Abstract:

The leading question of this paper is “How can one conceptualise influence warfare in order to simulate it?” The authors discuss the foundational aspects of theory and model of influence warfare by building a conceptual framework. The framework forms a prism with three axes along the DIME/PMESII/ASCOP dimensions. The DIME concept groups the many instru-ments of power a nation-state can muster into four elements: Diplomacy, Information, Military, and Economics. PMESII describes the operational environment in six domains: Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, and Infrastructure. ASCOPE is used in COunterINsurgency (COIN) environments to analyse the cultural and human environment (the ‘human terrain’) and encompasses Areas, Structures, Capabilities, Organization, People, and Events. Additionally, the model reflects about aspects of Information Collection Requirements and Information Capabilities Requirements (ICR2)—hence DIME/PMESII/ASCOP/ICR2. The paper focuses on building a framework for the problem space of influence/information/hybrid warfare and intro-duces the idea of the perception field, understood as a molecule (gestalt or shape) of a story or narrative that influences an observer. This molecule can be drawn as a selection of vectors that can be built inside the DIME/PMESII/ASCOP prism. Each vector can be influenced by a shielding or shaping action. These ideas are explored in the context of an influence wargame.


AUTHORS

Photo of Thorsten Kodalle

The Bundeswehr Command and Staff College Hamburg,
Germany

Thorsten Kodalle LTC (GS) lectures on security policy at the Command and Staff College of the German Armed Forces with a special focus on NATO, Critical Infrastructure, and Cyber. He has a diploma in Social Science, has had assignments as a youth information officer and in the MoD. He also lectures on management and leadership; and for several years, he has supported computer assisted exercises with constructive simulation at the Command and Staff College. He is a member of the NATO Research Task Group 129, Gamification of Cyber Defense/Resilience; an experienced facilitator of manual wargaming on the operational level for courses of action analysis, for operational analysis, operations research, serious gaming, and especially for matrix wargaming on the strategic/political level. He just attended Connections US 2019 and Connections UK 2019 to present his best practice approach on facilitating a matrix wargame in a Slack Workspace. His next project is the Gamification of Strategic Thinking in which players will experience agile strategic planning techniques in a 5-team competition (5x5=25 players experience); and the construction of a “Global Matrix Wargame” with a special focus on cyber warfare on the semantic level. You can reach Thorsten Kodalle on Linkedin: linkedin.com/in/thorstenkodalle.

Photo of Dr. Dave Ormrod

Terra Schwartz Canberra,
Australia

Dr. Dave Ormrod is an information technology, computer science, simulation, and cyber security professional with over 22 years of industry experience. Prior to joining industry, Dave served as an Army Officer. Dave has deployed on operations in Iraq and worked with multi-national forces in Europe, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Dave has extensive practical leadership, management, cyber security, wargaming and simulation experience. He received his PhD in computer science (cyber security) from the University of New South Wales (UNSW) in 2017. Dave is certified with the Australian Information Security Registered Assessors Program (IRAP) and is a Certified Information Systems Security Professional (CISSP), Certified Information Security Auditor (CISA). a Project Management Professional (PMP), and a member of the United States Military Cyber Professionals Association. Dave enjoys adding to his collection of Scotch Malt Whisky and books, whilst planning the next overseas adventure.

Photo of Dr. Char Sample

ICFI at US Army Research Labs Aberdeen, MD,
U.S.A.

Dr. Char Sample is research fellow employed for ICF Inc. at the US Army Research Laboratory in Adelphi, Maryland. Dr. Sample is a visiting academic at the University of Warwick, Coventry, UK, and a guest lecturer at Bournemouth University, Rensselaer Polytechnic University, and Royal Holloway University. Dr. Sample has over 20 years’ experience in the information security industry. While Dr. Sample continues her research on modeling cyber behaviors by culture, she has, most recently, focused her research on Fake News, the role of cultural values in cyber security events, and the study of the relationship between human cognition and machines. Her other areas of research interest are information weaponization, deceptive data, and data resilience.

Photo of Dr. Scott Knight

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering Royal Military College of Canada

Dr. Scott Knight is Professor and Head of the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering at the Royal Military College. Dr Knight joined the faculty in 2000 after 21 years in the Canadian Air Force. He founded the RMC Computer Security Laboratory, which maintains a close working relationship with the Canadian Forces Information Operations Group. The research group focuses on computer network defence and support to information operations.

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Keywords

C

C2
C2S
CDX
CIA
CIP
CPS

D

DNS
DoD
DoS

I

IA
ICS

S

SOA

X

XRY

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